For the past two years, research conducted every month by our pay specialists has revealed that retail prices index (RPI) inflation has far outstripped the increase in pay levels. This year is no exception.

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Pay & Benefits Bulletin
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  THE EDITOR'S MESSAGE Issue 698  
  PRIVATE SECTOR PAY IN 2007/08
Sheila Attwood, Editor

For the past two years, research conducted every month by our pay specialists has revealed that retail prices index (RPI) inflation has far outstripped the increase in pay levels. This year is no exception.

IRS has collated the private sector pay rises it has recorded over the past year, and analysed the results by sector. Across all sectors, the median pay award was below RPI inflation.

The gap between pay and inflation was narrowest for utility companies, which topped the league table for private sector pay awards. Employees in the electricity, gas and water sector enjoyed median pay rises of 4.3% over the year to 31 August 2008. This was one percentage point above the 3.3% median seen across the economy as a whole, but half a percentage point below RPI for this period (4.8%).

In this special issue of Pay and Benefits Bulletin, we provide a detailed breakdown of pay awards across 12 different sectors of the economy. Each analysis is complemented by commentary from employer and employee bodies on the pattern of pay awards in the past year, and likely pay trends in the year ahead.

The summaries provided here should be read in conjunction with the pay prospects research presented in our previous issue, which looks in detail at pay forecasts for the year ahead.

XpertHR Sheila Attwood
Editor
Pay and Benefits Bulletin

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  ANNUAL REVIEW

Private sector pay 2007/08: summary

The median basic pay award across the whole economy stood at 3.3% in the 12 months to 31 August 2008. But between different sectors, this varied considerably. We provide a summary of the pay settlement trends over the past year, with links to a more detailed review for 12 industrial sectors.

Chemicals, pharmaceuticals and oil: settlement levels still on the rise

Our latest analysis of the sector’s pay trends reveals that, over the 2007/08 negotiating round, the pace of bargaining has picked up, with the value of the median pay award now standing at 3.8% - half a percentage point above the midpoint settlement for the whole economy.

Construction: midpoint stable at 4%

At the midpoint, construction deals were worth 4% over the year to 31 August 2008, exactly the same as in the 2006/07 bargaining round. This means that the sector’s pay reviews have again kept comfortably ahead of those in the economy as a whole, by a margin of 0.7 percentage points.

Electricity, gas and water: settlement levels power ahead

We find that the value of the midpoint pay review in the utilities has increased by 0.2 percentage points to stand at 4.3%. This means it is now running a full percentage point above the whole-economy median.

Engineering and metals: downward trend in pay settlements

In the 12 months up to the end of August 2008, pay settlements in the engineering and metals sector have slipped slightly in comparison to the previous 12-month period.

Finance: merit awards rise to 4%

The median merit budget increase is worth 4% in 2007/08, up from 3.6% in 2006/07. In total, 80.4% of the pay settlements in the sector monitored by IRS over the year to 31 August 2008 incorporate some measure of performance.

Food, drink and tobacco: settlements have edged upwards

Pay awards in the food, drink and tobacco sector are running level with those across the economy as a whole, at 3.3%.

General manufacturing: median edges higher

Pay awards in the general manufacturing sector are running at 3.2%, behind the level seen across the economy as a whole, and unions are predicting difficult pay negotiations in the year ahead.

Not-for-profit (1): charity pay awards unchanged at 3%

The median pay award has held firm at 3% over the year to 31 August 2008, in line with that recorded a year ago.

Not-for-profit (2): housing association pay awards rise to 3.4%

The median basic pay award in the housing association sector stands at 3.4% for the 2007/08 bargaining round, up from 3.25% a year ago.

Paper, printing and publishing: settlements continue on an upward curve

Our analysis of the 90 deals in the sector monitored by the IRS team of pay researchers reveals that the median pay award over the bargaining round to the end of August 2008 is 3.5%.

Retail and wholesale: pay awards hold firm at 3%

The median basic pay increase for retail workers remains at 3% for the year to 31 August 2008, unchanged from a year ago.

Transport and communication: pay rises remain strong

The level of increase to pay rates in the transport and communication sector has slowed compared with a year ago, but remains above that seen in most other sectors of the economy.

RELATED ARTICLES ON XPERTHR

Pay Intelligence October 2008

Annual review of pay trends 2008: Pay awards lag behind inflation

Performance pay budgets increase by 3.75% for 2007/08

Pay bargaining calendar 2007

The IRS pay databank: FAQs

Guide to IRS pay statistics

Manufacturing pay 2008

Retail pay 2008

Finance pay 2008

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  DATAFILE

Statistics and forecasts

The usual datafile is not published this month because the whole issue is devoted to our annual review of pay trends across the private and not-for-profit sectors. However, the latest inflation and earnings statistics can be found in our previous datafile. For this issue only, forecasts for inflation and earnings can be found in the economic outlook.

The latest official data show that:

  • retail prices index (RPI) inflation was 5% in September, up from 4.8% in August;
  • the consumer prices index (CPI) rose by 5.2% in the year to September 2008, up from a month earlier; and
  • average earnings (including bonuses) growth in the year to August 2008 was 3.4%, down from a month earlier.
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From the blog

Launched and run by the editorial team that produces XpertHR and the IRS e-journals, the Employment Intelligence blog is regularly updated with news, comment and links to the latest employment developments. Recent posts include:

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  • a downloadable PDF version of the full survey, including trends commentary.

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